Match details. Super Lig, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu. The referee is K. Saglam.
What's at stake. Samsunspor are 17th on 4 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Konyaspor, 1 point clear of Eyüpspor. A win would take them above Konyaspor. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler are 2nd on 17 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Galatasaray, 1 point clear of Fenerbahçe. A win would take them above Galatasaray.
Team news. Samsunspor are without J. Assoumou (muscle injury), F. Kaya (inactive), C. Yuksel (injury), J. Assoumou (muscle injury), F. Kaya (inactive), C. Yuksel (injury). Amed Sportif Faaliyetler are without L. Dellova (muscle injury), M. Yildirim (muscle injury), Y. Sor (muscle injury), L. Dellova (muscle injury), M. Yildirim (muscle injury), Y. Sor (muscle injury). L. Dellova is their centre-back.
Form. Samsunspor have won one, drawn one and lost six of their last eight, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Samsunspor have gone L L L L L L. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler have won five, drawn two and lost one of their last eight, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition Amed Sportif Faaliyetler have gone W D W W D W.
The numbers. Samsunspor score 0.9 and concede 2.4 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Samsunspor average 14.2 shots (3.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler score 2.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler average 15.0 shots (5.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Samsunspor have won two, drawn one and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 19 Feb 2020, it finished Samsunspor 3-0 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The case against. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler without L. Dellova (centre-back).
The read. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler or the draw. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Amed Sportif Faaliyetler.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Amed Sportif Faaliyetler are a clear winner, no Unders); Samsunspor Under 1.5 goals (Amed Sportif Faaliyetler's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 5.5 Goals (Amed Sportif Faaliyetler are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Samsunspor 1-1 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).