CECDE

18:00Sat 24 Oct

CDC

CD Estepona vs CD Ciudad de Lucena

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 4 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. CD Estepona are 7th on 11 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Mijas Las Lagunas, level on points with Linares Deportivo. A win would take them above Mijas Las Lagunas. CD Ciudad de Lucena are 3rd on 14 points after 7 games, level on points with Recreativo Huelva, level on points with Badajoz. A win would take them above Recreativo Huelva.

Form. CD Estepona have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. CD Ciudad de Lucena have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.

The numbers. CD Estepona score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CD Estepona average 11.3 shots (4.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. CD Ciudad de Lucena score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CD Ciudad de Lucena average 8.0 shots (3.5 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Estepona 1-1 CD Ciudad de Lucena (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDE 8 of 8 (100%) · CDC 6 of 7 (86%)94.8%

CD Estepona: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDE 6 of 8 (75%) · CDC 6 of 7 (86%)87.2%

CD Estepona: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level

CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA GOALS

CD Ciudad de Lucena Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDE 7 of 7 (100%) · CDC 5 of 8 (62%)71.1%

CD Ciudad de Lucena scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estepona conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level · CD Estepona: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDE 6 of 8 (75%) · CDC 6 of 7 (86%)80.4%

CD Estepona: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ciudad de Lucena: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · CD Estepona: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDE 5 of 5 (100%) · CDC 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%

CD Estepona's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ciudad de Lucena's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

CD Estepona goals →

CD Ciudad de Lucena goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD ESTEPONADDWDLWLWWD1.60 PPG

CD CIUDAD DE LUCENAWLWDDLWWWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD ESTEPONA HOMExCD CIUDAD DE LUCENA AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.901.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS40%29%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.00CORNERS A GAME3.174.00CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.57POINTS A GAME2.00+0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.86–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.82.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.47LEAGUE GAMES7

CD Ciudad de Lucena: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

CD ESTEPONA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD ESTEPONAxCD CIUDAD DE LUCENA

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.001.00CONCEDED A GAME0.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CD Estepona have scored in 80% of their games.

CD Ciudad de Lucena have scored in 90% of their games.

CD Estepona kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

CD Ciudad de Lucena kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards