Match details. League One. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. Luton have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. Leicester have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. Luton score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Luton average 6.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Leicester score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Leicester average 6.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Luton are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Leicester.
The case against. Leicester's record still gives them 50% to win.
The read. Luton or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Luton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Leicester. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 78% on the records (Luton: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Leicester: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Luton Over 0.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Luton or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Leicester Under 1.5 goals (Leicester's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Luton 2-1 Leicester (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Luton or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUT 7 of 8 (88%) · LEI 7 of 8 (88%)85.9%
Luton: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Luton: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Luton's level
Luton or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.16
LUT 7 of 8 (88%) · LEI 5 of 8 (62%)78.1%
Luton: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Luton: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Luton's level
Luton (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
LUT 3 of 7 (43%) · LEI 2 of 6 (33%)67%
Luton won 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Leicester lost 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 38% · Luton: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Luton's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 3
Luton or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
LUT 6 of 8 (75%) · LEI 5 of 8 (62%)61.8%
Luton: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Luton: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Luton's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.16
LUT 7 of 8 (88%) · LEI 7 of 8 (88%)79.9%
Luton: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Luton: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Luton's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
LUT 5 of 8 (62%) · LEI 5 of 8 (62%)52.2%
Luton: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Luton: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Luton's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
LUT 6 of 8 (75%) · LEI 4 of 8 (50%)61%
Luton: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Luton: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Luton's level
LUTON GOALS
Luton Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.16
LUT 7 of 8 (88%) · LEI 5 of 8 (62%)79.9%
Luton scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Luton: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Luton's level
LEICESTER GOALS
Leicester Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.24
LUT 6 of 8 (75%) · LEI 7 of 8 (88%)70.6%
Leicester scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Luton conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Leicester: only games against sides at Luton's level · Luton: only games against sides at Leicester's level
Left off the list: Luton or Draw & Over 1.5 (the numbers (53%) and the records (44%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Leicester Under 1.5 goals (Leicester's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–18.9%
Luton goals →
Leicester goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LUTONWLWDWLLDWL1.40 PPG
LEICESTERWWLLWDWLWD1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LUTON HOMExLEICESTER AWAY
1.90SCORED A GAME1.601.80CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS30%6.30CORNERS A GAME6.502.00CARDS A GAME1.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME1.50+0.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.10-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.71.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES10
Leicester: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
69%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
LUTON OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
LEICESTER OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LUTONxLEICESTER
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Luton have scored in 90% of their games.
Leicester have scored in 80% of their games.
Luton kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Leicester kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards