AAALA

15:00Sat 24 Oct

ALB

AL Arabi vs Al Baqaa

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Jordan League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AL Arabi are 8th on 4 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Al Salt, level on points with Doqarah. A win would take them above Al Salt. Al Baqaa are 5th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with Al Wihdat, level on points with Al Hussein. A win would take them above Al Wihdat.

Form. AL Arabi have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. Al Baqaa have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W.

The numbers. AL Arabi score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. AL Arabi average 10.5 shots (3.0 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Al Baqaa score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last five, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al Baqaa average 8.4 shots (3.4 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

The case against. AL Arabi's record still gives them 20% to win.

The read. Al Baqaa to win. A tight game. Al Baqaa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Baqaa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al Baqaa or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: AL Arabi 0-1 Al Baqaa (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Al Baqaa or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · ALB 5 of 5 (100%)90%

Al Baqaa: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AL Arabi: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Al Baqaa: only games against sides at AL Arabi's level · AL Arabi: only games against sides at Al Baqaa's level

2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Al BaqaaPAGE ONLY

1.32

ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · ALB 4 of 5 (80%)80%

Al Baqaa: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AL Arabi: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Al Baqaa: only games against sides at AL Arabi's level · AL Arabi: only games against sides at Al Baqaa's level

Double Chance: Draw or Al BaqaaLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · ALB 4 of 5 (80%)61.4%

Al Baqaa unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AL Arabi failed to win 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Al Baqaa: only games against sides at AL Arabi's level · AL Arabi: only games against sides at Al Baqaa's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALA 5 of 5 (100%) · ALB 5 of 5 (100%)96.1%

AL Arabi: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Al Baqaa: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AL Arabi: only games against sides at Al Baqaa's level · Al Baqaa: only games against sides at AL Arabi's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

ALA 3 of 5 (60%) · ALB 4 of 5 (80%)76.6%

AL Arabi: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Al Baqaa: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · AL Arabi: only games against sides at Al Baqaa's level · Al Baqaa: only games against sides at AL Arabi's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.68

ALA 3 of 5 (60%) · ALB 3 of 5 (60%)55.4%

AL Arabi: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Al Baqaa: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · AL Arabi: only games against sides at Al Baqaa's level · Al Baqaa: only games against sides at AL Arabi's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

ALA 4 of 5 (80%) · ALB 5 of 5 (100%)90%

AL Arabi: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Al Baqaa: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · AL Arabi: only games against sides at Al Baqaa's level · Al Baqaa: only games against sides at AL Arabi's level

Left off the list: Al Baqaa or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (48%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.2%

AL Arabi goals →

Al Baqaa goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 5

AL ARABILLDLW0.80 PPG

AL BAQAAWDLWD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL ARABI HOMExAL BAQAA AWAY

0.60SCORED A GAME0.801.60CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS80%40%FAILED TO SCORE60%6.33CORNERS A GAME3.442.22CARDS A GAME2.11

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.80POINTS A GAME1.60-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.40.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.65LEAGUE GAMES5

Al Baqaa: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

AL BAQAA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

39%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

41%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AL ARABI OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

AL BAQAA OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AL ARABIxAL BAQAA

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.801.60CONCEDED A GAME0.802.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE0%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.012.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AL Arabi have scored in 70% of their games.

Al Baqaa have scored in 70% of their games.

AL Arabi failed to score in 40% of their games.

Al Baqaa failed to score in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague tablecornerscards