Match details. Besta deild, Women. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. IBV Vestmannaeyjar have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Stjarnan have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.
The numbers. IBV Vestmannaeyjar score 2.2 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. IBV Vestmannaeyjar average 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Stjarnan score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Stjarnan average 5.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. Stjarnan's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. IBV Vestmannaeyjar to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make IBV Vestmannaeyjar the likelier winners; both teams' records favour IBV Vestmannaeyjar. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Stjarnan or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs IBV Vestmannaeyjar); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Stjarnan or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs IBV Vestmannaeyjar). Predicted score: IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 Stjarnan (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).