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Kaizer Chiefs vs Red Arrows

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. CAF Confederations Cup, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at FNB Stadium, Johannesburg.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Kaizer Chiefs have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. In this competition Kaizer Chiefs have gone L. Red Arrows have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.

The numbers. Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Kaizer Chiefs average 13.0 shots (4.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Red Arrows score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Red Arrows average 13.0 shots (6.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 Red Arrows.

The case against. Red Arrows's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. Kaizer Chiefs or the draw. A tight game. Red Arrows are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 Red Arrows (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Kaizer Chiefs or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
KAI 5 of 5 (100%) · RED 4 of 5 (80%)89.8%
Kaizer Chiefs: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Red Arrows: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
KAI 5 of 5 (100%) · RED 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Kaizer Chiefs: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Red Arrows: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
KAI 4 of 5 (80%) · RED 5 of 5 (100%)92.7%
Kaizer Chiefs: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Red Arrows: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.30
KAI 4 of 5 (80%) · RED 4 of 5 (80%)82.5%
Kaizer Chiefs: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Red Arrows: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 14.3%
Kaizer Chiefs goals →
Red Arrows goals ↓
0-013%
1-012%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-113%
1-114%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-27%
1-27%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-31%
3-30.4%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.7%
1-40.7%
2-40.4%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
KAIZER CHIEFSWLWDDWDDDL1.40 PPG
RED ARROWSLDWDWWWWDW2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KAIZER CHIEFS HOMExRED ARROWS AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME0.3020%CLEAN SHEETS70%12%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.14CORNERS A GAME4.802.00CARDS A GAME2.00
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
KAIZER CHIEFS 0 · 0%DRAW 0RED ARROWS 1 · 100%
2026-10-17Kaizer Chiefs 0 – 1 Red Arrows
TRENDS
Kaizer Chiefs have scored in 70% of their games.
Red Arrows have scored in 60% of their games.
Kaizer Chiefs kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Red Arrows kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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