CF Intercity vs UD Castellonense
Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 3 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Camp Municipal Antonio Solana.
What's at stake. CF Intercity are 11th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with Lorca Deportiva, 2 points clear of Elche II. A win would take them above Lorca Deportiva. UD Castellonense are 3rd on 12 points after 6 games, level on points with Castellón II, level on points with La Nucía. A win would take them above Castellón II.
Form. CF Intercity have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D. UD Castellonense have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.
The numbers. CF Intercity score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. CF Intercity average 7.9 shots (2.7 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.8 cards a game. UD Castellonense score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. UD Castellonense average 8.0 shots (4.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 26% against the records' 48%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The read. No firm call: UD Castellonense are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make UD Castellonense the likelier winners; UD Castellonense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Castellonense.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CF Intercity 1-1 UD Castellonense (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).