DC United vs FC Cincinnati
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Audi Field, Washington. The referee is Jon Freemon.
What's at stake. DC United are 13th on 33 points after 30 games, 1 point behind New York City FC, 3 points clear of Atlanta United FC. A win would take them above New York City FC. FC Cincinnati are 8th on 39 points after 30 games, 2 points behind Orlando City SC, 3 points clear of New York Red Bulls. A win would take them above Orlando City SC. DC United have nothing left to play for.
Team news. DC United are without S. Johnson (leg injury), H. Kijima (leg injury), L. Munteanu (leg injury), G. Segal (leg injury), S. Johnson (leg injury), H. Kijima (leg injury). S. Johnson is their first-choice keeper. FC Cincinnati are without E. Echenique (leg injury), T. Malacia (ankle injury), J. Malatini (thigh injury), M. Robinson (leg injury), J. Martinez (knee injury), E. Echenique (leg injury).
Form. DC United have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. In this competition DC United have gone L L W L D L. FC Cincinnati have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. In this competition FC Cincinnati have gone W L L W L D.
The numbers. DC United score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. DC United average 14.1 shots (4.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 37% of the ball. FC Cincinnati score 1.2 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Cincinnati average 18.1 shots (5.9 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings DC United have won four, drawn one and lost five. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, DC United won one and FC Cincinnati won three. The last time they met, on 21 Oct 2026, it finished DC United 1-2 FC Cincinnati: DC United had 13 shots to 15, 53% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. FC Cincinnati's record still gives them 31% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. DC United or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. The meetings favour FC Cincinnati. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 76% on the records (DC United: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; FC Cincinnati: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: DC United Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: DC United or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: DC United 2-1 FC Cincinnati (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).