Paris Saint-Germain W vs Montpellier FC
Match details. Premiere Ligue, Women. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 20:05 Lagos time.
Form. Paris Saint-Germain W have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. Montpellier FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W.
The numbers. Paris Saint-Germain W score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Paris Saint-Germain W average 7.8 shots (3.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Montpellier FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Montpellier FC average 0.9 shots (0.6 on target), 0.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 53%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The read. No firm call: Paris Saint-Germain W are the better side, but not at this price. Paris Saint-Germain W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Paris Saint-Germain W.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Montpellier FC Over 0.5 Goals (Paris Saint-Germain W's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Paris Saint-Germain W 1-1 Montpellier FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).