Match details. Segunda Division, 2nd Phase - 24. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento.
What's at stake. Plaza Colonia are 2nd on 36 points after 23 games, 5 points behind Atenas, level on points with Rentistas. Tacuarembo FC are 13th on 24 points after 23 games, 3 points behind Sportivo Huracan, 6 points clear of Uruguay Montevideo. A win would take them level on points with Sportivo Huracan. Tacuarembo FC have nothing left to play for, while Plaza Colonia need the win.
Form. Plaza Colonia have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D. In this competition Plaza Colonia have gone W D L D D W. Tacuarembo FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. In this competition Tacuarembo FC have gone L L L D D D.
The numbers. Plaza Colonia score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Plaza Colonia average 5.3 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. Tacuarembo FC score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Tacuarembo FC average 6.6 shots (3.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Plaza Colonia have won six, drawn two and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Plaza Colonia won four. The last time they met, on 25 Jul 2026, it finished Plaza Colonia 2-0 Tacuarembo FC.
The read. Plaza Colonia to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Plaza Colonia the likelier winners; Plaza Colonia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Plaza Colonia; the meetings favour Plaza Colonia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Plaza Colonia or Draw (1UP) at 1.14, 72% on the records (Plaza Colonia scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3; led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Plaza Colonia 1-0 Tacuarembo FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).