Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Whitehawk FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition Whitehawk FC have gone W. St Albans City have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition St Albans City have gone W.
The numbers. Whitehawk FC score 1.5 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. St Albans City score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Whitehawk FC have won two, drawn two and lost one. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Whitehawk FC won two, one was drawn and St Albans City won one. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Whitehawk FC 5-3 St Albans City.
Where it pulls both ways. St Albans City are the form side, but the meetings favour Whitehawk FC: in the last five meetings, Whitehawk FC won two, St Albans City won one and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: St Albans City or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); St Albans City or draw and over 1.5 goals (no result call); St Albans City (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: Whitehawk FC 1-2 St Albans City (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).