Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Taunton Town have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Taunton Town have gone W. Wimborne Town have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Wimborne Town have gone W.
The numbers. Taunton Town score 2.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Wimborne Town score 2.3 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Taunton Town have won four, drawn one and lost two. Six of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Taunton Town won one, one was drawn and Wimborne Town won two. The last time they met, on 3 Mar 2026, it finished Taunton Town 0-1 Wimborne Town.
The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Wimborne Town are not clearly stronger. Taunton Town's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Wimborne Town or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Wimborne Town the likelier winners; Wimborne Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wimborne Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%. Six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Taunton Town or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Wimborne Town); Taunton Town or Both Teams Score (the call backs Wimborne Town); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Taunton Town 1-2 Wimborne Town (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).