Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Redditch United have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition Redditch United have gone W. Gloucester City have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. In this competition Gloucester City have gone W.
The numbers. Redditch United score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Redditch United average 16.3 shots (7.3 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Gloucester City score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Redditch United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Gloucester City or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Gloucester City or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Redditch United 2-1 Gloucester City (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).