Needham Market vs Wingate & Finchley
Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Needham Market have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. In this competition Needham Market have gone W. Wingate & Finchley have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition Wingate & Finchley have gone W.
The numbers. Needham Market score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Needham Market average 12.3 shots (5.3 on target), 2.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Wingate & Finchley score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Wingate & Finchley average 10.6 shots (5.8 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Needham Market or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Wingate & Finchley or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Needham Market 2-2 Wingate & Finchley (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).