MFMIC

15:00Sat 24 Oct

ALF

Mickleover FC vs Alfreton Town FC

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Mickleover FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W D. In this competition Mickleover FC have gone W W. Alfreton Town FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L. In this competition Alfreton Town FC have gone W.

The numbers. Mickleover FC score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alfreton Town FC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Alfreton Town FC average 7.8 shots (2.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Mickleover FC 2-1 Alfreton Town FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.17

MIC 8 of 10 (80%) · ALF 6 of 10 (60%)70%

Mickleover FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

MICKLEOVER FC GOALS

Mickleover FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

MIC 8 of 10 (80%) · ALF 7 of 10 (70%)75%

Mickleover FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

ALFRETON TOWN FC GOALS

Alfreton Town FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

MIC 7 of 10 (70%) · ALF 8 of 10 (80%)75%

Alfreton Town FC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mickleover FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.7%

Mickleover FC goals →

Alfreton Town FC goals ↓

0-06%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-41.0%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MICKLEOVER FCDDWLLDWWWL1.50 PPG

ALFRETON TOWN FCWLLWWLWLDD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MICKLEOVER FC HOMExALFRETON TOWN FC AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.201.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE27%

TRENDS

Mickleover FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Alfreton Town FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Mickleover FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Alfreton Town FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets