LULOU

15:00Sat 24 Oct

STO

Loughborough University vs Stourbridge FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Loughborough University have won two, drawn one and lost three of their last six, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. Stourbridge FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. In this competition Stourbridge FC have gone W.

The numbers. Loughborough University score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last six, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Stourbridge FC score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Loughborough University 1-1 Stourbridge FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LOU 6 of 6 (100%) · STO 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%

Loughborough University: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Stourbridge FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

LOU 5 of 6 (83%) · STO 5 of 5 (100%)90%

Loughborough University: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Stourbridge FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 87%

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.5%

Loughborough… goals →

Stourbridge FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-112%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.6%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

LOUGHBOROUGH UNIVERSITYLLLDWW1.17 PPG

STOURBRIDGE FCLLDLWDLWWL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LOUGHBOROUGH UNIVERSITY HOMExSTOURBRIDGE FC AWAY

1.33SCORED A GAME1.101.83CONCEDED A GAME1.600%CLEAN SHEETS10%0%FAILED TO SCORE33%

TRENDS

Loughborough University have scored in 67% of their games.

Stourbridge FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Loughborough University kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Stourbridge FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets