Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Kettering Town have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W. In this competition Kettering Town have gone W. Quorn FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. In this competition Quorn FC have gone W.
The numbers. Kettering Town score 2.1 and concede 0.9 a game in their last seven at home, with three clean sheets. Kettering Town average 10.4 shots (4.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Quorn FC score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Quorn FC average 9.0 shots (4.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 0.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Kettering Town have won three, drawn none and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 19 Sep 2026, it finished Kettering Town 2-0 Quorn FC.
The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Kettering Town are not clearly stronger. Quorn FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Kettering Town or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kettering Town the likelier winners; Kettering Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kettering Town; the meetings favour Kettering Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Kettering Town 2-1 Quorn FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).