HUHAS

15:00Sat 24 Oct

WAL

Hastings United FC vs Waltham Abbey FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Hastings United FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Hastings United FC have gone W W. Waltham Abbey FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W.

The numbers. Hastings United FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Waltham Abbey FC score 3.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal.

The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Waltham Abbey FC are not clearly stronger. Hastings United FC's record still gives them 38% to win.

The read. Waltham Abbey FC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Waltham Abbey FC the likelier winners; Waltham Abbey FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Waltham Abbey FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hastings United FC 1-2 Waltham Abbey FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Waltham Abbey FC or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HAS 10 of 10 (100%) · WAL 5 of 6 (83%)92.8%

Waltham Abbey FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hastings United FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 95% · the call is Waltham Abbey FC or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Waltham Abbey FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Waltham Abbey FC win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.17

HAS 8 of 10 (80%) · WAL 5 of 6 (83%)82.8%

Waltham Abbey FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hastings United FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85% · the call is Waltham Abbey FC or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Waltham Abbey FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Waltham Abbey FC or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.22

HAS 8 of 10 (80%) · WAL 4 of 6 (67%)75.6%

Waltham Abbey FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hastings United FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · the call is Waltham Abbey FC or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Waltham Abbey FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Waltham Abbey FC or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.72

HAS 2 of 6 (33%) · WAL 7 of 10 (70%)54.4%

Hastings United FC: the bet landed in 2 of 6 at home · Waltham Abbey FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%

Waltham Abbey FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

2.10

HAS 6 of 9 (67%) · WAL 2 of 5 (40%)48.9%

Waltham Abbey FC won 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Hastings United FC lost 2 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · won 4, refunded 1, lost 4

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

HAS 6 of 6 (100%) · WAL 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Hastings United FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Waltham Abbey FC: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.10

HAS 4 of 6 (67%) · WAL 10 of 10 (100%)85.6%

Hastings United FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Waltham Abbey FC: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.36

HAS 3 of 6 (50%) · WAL 6 of 10 (60%)56.7%

Hastings United FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · Waltham Abbey FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%

WALTHAM ABBEY FC GOALS

Waltham Abbey FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

HAS 8 of 10 (80%) · WAL 5 of 6 (83%)82.8%

Waltham Abbey FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hastings United FC conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.8%

Hastings United FC goals →

Waltham Abbey FC goals ↓

0-04%

1-04%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-17%

1-110%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-210%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-36%

1-37%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-43%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.8%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-51%

1-51%

2-50.9%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

HASTINGS UNITED FCLLWLLWDLWW1.30 PPG

WALTHAM ABBEY FCWWLWLWWDLW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HASTINGS UNITED FC HOMExWALTHAM ABBEY FC AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME3.101.50CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%

TRENDS

Hastings United FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Waltham Abbey FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Hastings United FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Waltham Abbey FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets