GBGOS

15:00Sat 24 Oct

CHI

Gosport Borough vs Chichester City FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Gosport Borough have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. In this competition Gosport Borough have gone W. Chichester City FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition Chichester City FC have gone W.

The numbers. Gosport Borough score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Chichester City FC score 1.7 and concede two a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Gosport Borough the likelier winners, but Chichester City FC are the stronger side on form and the table.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Gosport Borough or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Chichester City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Gosport Borough or Chichester City FC (no result call). Predicted score: Gosport Borough 2-1 Chichester City FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

GOS 7 of 8 (88%) · CHI 6 of 7 (86%)86.6%

Gosport Borough: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chichester City FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Gosport Borough: only games against sides at Chichester City FC's level · Chichester City FC: only games against sides at Gosport Borough's level

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.54

GOS 5 of 8 (62%) · CHI 6 of 7 (86%)74.1%

Gosport Borough: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chichester City FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Gosport Borough: only games against sides at Chichester City FC's level · Chichester City FC: only games against sides at Gosport Borough's level

GOSPORT BOROUGH GOALS

Gosport Borough Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

GOS 6 of 8 (75%) · CHI 7 of 7 (100%)87.5%

Gosport Borough scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chichester City FC conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Gosport Borough: only games against sides at Chichester City FC's level · Chichester City FC: only games against sides at Gosport Borough's level

CHICHESTER CITY FC GOALS

Chichester City FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

GOS 5 of 7 (71%) · CHI 7 of 8 (88%)79.5%

Chichester City FC scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gosport Borough conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Chichester City FC: only games against sides at Gosport Borough's level · Gosport Borough: only games against sides at Chichester City FC's level

Left off the list: Gosport Borough or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Chichester City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Gosport Borough or Chichester City FC (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Chichester City FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (72%) and the records (94%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Gosport Borough or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.8%

Gosport Borough goals →

Chichester City FC goals ↓

0-03%

1-05%

2-06%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-14%

1-110%

2-19%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-24%

1-27%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.8%

0-32%

1-34%

2-34%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.4%

0-40.8%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.9%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.3%

1-50.5%

2-50.5%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

GOSPORT BOROUGHLLWDWDLWWL1.40 PPG

CHICHESTER CITY FCWLLDWLWWLW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GOSPORT BOROUGH HOMExCHICHESTER CITY FC AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME2.001.50CONCEDED A GAME1.9010%CLEAN SHEETS0%31%FAILED TO SCORE23%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.38POINTS A GAME1.46+0.15GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.08–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.813LEAGUE GAMES13

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

70%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

GOSPORT BOROUGH OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

CHICHESTER CITY FC OR DRAW

40%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

GOSPORT BOROUGHxCHICHESTER CITY FC

7GAMES72.00SCORED A GAME0.711.29CONCEDED A GAME2.003.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.786%OVER 1.5 GOALS57%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%71%BOTH SCORE29%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Gosport Borough have scored in 80% of their games.

Chichester City FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Gosport Borough kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Chichester City FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets