FTFAV

15:00Sat 24 Oct

NEW

Faversham Town vs Newmarket Town

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Faversham Town have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. Newmarket Town have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Newmarket Town have gone W W.

The numbers. Faversham Town score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Newmarket Town score 2.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet.

The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Newmarket Town are not clearly stronger. Faversham Town's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. Newmarket Town or the draw. An open game. Newmarket Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Newmarket Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Faversham Town or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Newmarket Town); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Faversham Town 1-2 Newmarket Town (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Newmarket Town or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAV 9 of 10 (90%) · NEW 8 of 10 (80%)85%

Newmarket Town: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Faversham Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · the call is Newmarket Town or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Newmarket Town are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Newmarket Town or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.24

FAV 8 of 10 (80%) · NEW 6 of 10 (60%)70%

Newmarket Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Faversham Town: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · the call is Newmarket Town or the draw: a knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Newmarket Town are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAV 9 of 10 (90%) · NEW 10 of 10 (100%)95%

Faversham Town: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Newmarket Town: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.12

FAV 8 of 10 (80%) · NEW 9 of 10 (90%)85%

Faversham Town: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Newmarket Town: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.41

FAV 6 of 10 (60%) · NEW 7 of 10 (70%)65%

Faversham Town: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Newmarket Town: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

FAVERSHAM TOWN GOALS

Faversham Town Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

FAV 9 of 10 (90%) · NEW 9 of 10 (90%)90%

Faversham Town scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Newmarket Town conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Left off the list: Faversham Town or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Newmarket Town); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Faversham Town or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Newmarket Town)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.4%

Faversham Town goals →

Newmarket Town goals ↓

0-03%

1-04%

2-04%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.6%

0-14%

1-19%

2-18%

3-15%

4-13%

5-11%

0-24%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-22%

5-20.9%

0-32%

1-34%

2-34%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.6%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.6%

5-40.3%

0-50.4%

1-50.7%

2-50.7%

3-50.5%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FAVERSHAM TOWNDLDWWLDLWW1.50 PPG

NEWMARKET TOWNWWLWLWDLWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FAVERSHAM TOWN HOMExNEWMARKET TOWN AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME2.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.9040%CLEAN SHEETS11%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%

TRENDS

Faversham Town have scored in 90% of their games.

Newmarket Town have scored in 89% of their games.

Faversham Town kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Newmarket Town kept a clean sheet in 11% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets