Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Bourne Town have won two, drawn three and lost one of their last six, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. Banbury United have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition Banbury United have gone W.
The numbers. Bourne Town score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. Banbury United score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Banbury United average 7.8 shots (3.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bourne Town 2-2 Banbury United (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).