BFBER

15:00Sat 24 Oct

CRA

Berkhamsted FC vs Cray Wanderers

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Berkhamsted FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition Berkhamsted FC have gone W. Cray Wanderers have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W.

The numbers. Berkhamsted FC score 1.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cray Wanderers score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Cray Wanderers average 6.0 shots (2.0 on target), 9.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Berkhamsted FC 2-1 Cray Wanderers (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BER 9 of 10 (90%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%

Berkhamsted FC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cray Wanderers: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

BER 8 of 10 (80%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)80%

Berkhamsted FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cray Wanderers: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.5%

Berkhamsted FC goals →

Cray Wanderers goals ↓

0-06%

1-07%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-41.0%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BERKHAMSTED FCDWWLWLWWWL1.90 PPG

CRAY WANDERERSDWLDDWWWLD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BERKHAMSTED FC HOMExCRAY WANDERERS AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME2.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS30%17%FAILED TO SCORE11%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME1.33-0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.56–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.412LEAGUE GAMES9

Cray Wanderers: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

83%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

71%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 85/90

BERKHAMSTED FC OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

CRAY WANDERERS OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BERKHAMSTED FCxCRAY WANDERERS

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME3.001.40CONCEDED A GAME2.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES5.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Berkhamsted FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Cray Wanderers have scored in 90% of their games.

Berkhamsted FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Cray Wanderers kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets