Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Twerton Park, Bath.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Bath City FC have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Bath City FC have gone W. Frome Town have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D.
The numbers. Bath City FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Bath City FC have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 31 Aug 2026, it finished Bath City FC 0-1 Frome Town.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Bath City FC are not clearly stronger. Frome Town's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Bath City FC or the draw. Bath City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bath City FC.
The bets. Best bet: Bath City FC or Draw at 1.38, 75% on the records (Bath City FC unbeaten in 6 of 8; Frome Town failed to win 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Frome Town Under 1.5 goals (Frome Town's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Frome Town Over 0.5 Goals (Bath City FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Bath City FC 1-1 Frome Town (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).