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ENGLAND AMATEUR - FA TROPHY
Aveley FC crestAFAVE
15:00Sat 24 Oct
CARCarshalton Athletic FC crestCA

Aveley FC vs Carshalton Athletic FC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Aveley FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. In this competition Aveley FC have gone W. Carshalton Athletic FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.

The numbers. Aveley FC score 2.1 and concede two a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet. Aveley FC average 14.0 shots (6.3 on target), 8.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Carshalton Athletic FC score two and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Carshalton Athletic FC average 15.0 shots (7.5 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Aveley FC have won one, drawn four and lost one. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, three were drawn and Carshalton Athletic FC won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Aveley FC 0-0 Carshalton Athletic FC.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 49% against the records' 28%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; five of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The read. No firm call: Aveley FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Aveley FC the likelier winners; Aveley FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Aveley FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Aveley FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Aveley FC 1-1 Carshalton Athletic FC (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Aveley FC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.16
AVE 6 of 7 (86%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)82.1%
Aveley FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Carshalton Athletic FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 6 · Aveley FC: only games against sides at Carshalton Athletic FC's level · Carshalton Athletic FC: only games against sides at Aveley FC's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
AVE 6 of 7 (86%) · CAR 2 of 5 (40%)71.3%
Aveley FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Carshalton Athletic FC: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · H2H 5 of 6 · Aveley FC: only games against sides at Carshalton Athletic FC's level · Carshalton Athletic FC: only games against sides at Aveley FC's level
AVELEY FC GOALS
Aveley FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
AVE 6 of 7 (86%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)82.1%
Aveley FC scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Carshalton Athletic FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 6 · Aveley FC: only games against sides at Carshalton Athletic FC's level · Carshalton Athletic FC: only games against sides at Aveley FC's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AVE 5 of 7 (71%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)79.6%
Aveley FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Carshalton Athletic FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Aveley FC: only games against sides at Carshalton Athletic FC's level · Carshalton Athletic FC: only games against sides at Aveley FC's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Aveley FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Aveley FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 6.6%
Aveley FC goals →
Carshalton Athletic FC goals ↓
0-02%
1-03%
2-04%
3-03%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-12%
1-17%
2-17%
3-16%
4-13%
5-12%
0-23%
1-26%
2-27%
3-26%
4-23%
5-22%
0-32%
1-34%
2-35%
3-34%
4-32%
5-31.0%
0-40.8%
1-42%
2-42%
3-42%
4-41%
5-40.5%
0-50.3%
1-50.8%
2-50.9%
3-50.7%
4-50.4%
5-50.2%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
AVELEY FCWLLLWLLDWL1.00 PPG
CARSHALTON ATHLETIC FCLLLWWLLLDL0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AVELEY FC HOMExCARSHALTON ATHLETIC FC AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.201.90CONCEDED A GAME2.5010%CLEAN SHEETS0%23%FAILED TO SCORE27%8.00CORNERS A GAME5.751.33CARDS A GAME1.75
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.08POINTS A GAME1.47-0.08GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33+2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.213LEAGUE GAMES15
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 85/90
AVELEY FC OR DRAW
40%
NO · 80/85
CARSHALTON ATHLETIC FC OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AVELEY FCxCARSHALTON ATHLETIC FC
7GAMES81.57SCORED A GAME2.002.00CONCEDED A GAME2.123.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.186%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%71%OVER 2.5 GOALS88%71%BOTH SCORE75%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6
AVELEY FC 1 · 17%DRAW 4CARSHALTON ATHLETIC FC 1 · 17%
2 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-12-14Aveley FC 3 – 3 Carshalton Athletic FC
2019-12-16Aveley FC 2 – 0 Carshalton Athletic FC
2022-10-10Aveley FC 0 – 1 Carshalton Athletic FC
2023-03-04Aveley FC 0 – 0 Carshalton Athletic FC
2025-11-15Aveley FC 1 – 1 Carshalton Athletic FC
2026-04-18Aveley FC 0 – 0 Carshalton Athletic FC
TRENDS
Aveley FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Carshalton Athletic FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Aveley FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Carshalton Athletic FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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