Anstey Nomads vs Bromsgrove Sporting
Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Anstey Nomads have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W. In this competition Anstey Nomads have gone W. Bromsgrove Sporting have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D. In this competition Bromsgrove Sporting have gone W.
The numbers. Anstey Nomads score 1.9 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. Anstey Nomads average 8.8 shots (3.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Bromsgrove Sporting average 12.6 shots (3.8 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished Anstey Nomads 2-1 Bromsgrove Sporting.
The case against. A knockout game (1/128-finals) with penalties if level, and Bromsgrove Sporting are not clearly stronger. Anstey Nomads's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Bromsgrove Sporting or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bromsgrove Sporting the likelier winners; Bromsgrove Sporting are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Bromsgrove Sporting at 1.43, 80% on the records (Bromsgrove Sporting unbeaten in 6 of 6; Anstey Nomads failed to win 3 of 5). Full cover: Anstey Nomads Over 0.5 Goals at 1.34. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Anstey Nomads 1-2 Bromsgrove Sporting (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).