Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Universidad de Chile have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. Asociacion Deportivo Cali have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Universidad de Chile score 2.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Universidad de Chile average 15.0 shots (5.3 on target), 7.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Asociacion Deportivo Cali score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Asociacion Deportivo Cali average 9.5 shots (3.2 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The case against. Universidad de Chile's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Asociacion Deportivo Cali to win. Asociacion Deportivo Cali are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Asociacion Deportivo Cali.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Asociacion Deportivo Cali are a clear winner, no Unders); Asociacion Deportivo Cali (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Asociacion Deportivo Cali are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Universidad de Chile 0-1 Asociacion Deportivo Cali (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).