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Club Libertad vs Club Nacional Montevideo

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.

Form. Club Libertad have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Club Nacional Montevideo have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W.

The numbers. Club Libertad score 2.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Club Libertad average 14.1 shots (7.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Club Nacional Montevideo score two and concede one a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Club Nacional Montevideo average 17.4 shots (8.2 on target), 6.8 corners and 0.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The case against. Club Nacional Montevideo's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. Club Libertad to win. Their goals for and against make Club Libertad the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Club Libertad.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Club Nacional Montevideo or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Club Libertad); Club Nacional Montevideo or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Club Libertad). Predicted score: Club Libertad 2-1 Club Nacional Montevideo (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Club Libertad or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CL 4 of 5 (80%) · CN 6 of 6 (100%)90%
Club Libertad: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Club Nacional Montevideo: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90%
Club Libertad or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CL 4 of 5 (80%) · CN 4 of 6 (67%)73.9%
Club Libertad: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Club Nacional Montevideo: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CL 5 of 5 (100%) · CN 6 of 6 (100%)98.3%
Club Libertad: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Club Nacional Montevideo: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95%
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.39
CL 4 of 5 (80%) · CN 5 of 6 (83%)82.8%
Club Libertad: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Club Nacional Montevideo: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CL 4 of 5 (80%) · CN 5 of 6 (83%)76.1%
Club Libertad: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Club Nacional Montevideo: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CL 4 of 5 (80%) · CN 5 of 6 (83%)76.1%
Club Libertad: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Club Nacional Montevideo: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CL 4 of 5 (80%) · CN 3 of 5 (60%)69.6%
Club Libertad's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Club Nacional Montevideo's games: over 1.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69%
Left off the list: Club Nacional Montevideo or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Club Libertad); Club Nacional Montevideo or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Club Libertad)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.6%
Club Libertad goals →
Club Nacional… goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-08%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
CLUB LIBERTADWWWLWWWWDW2.50 PPG
CLUB NACIONAL MONTEVIDEOWLWWDWWDDL1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CLUB LIBERTAD HOMExCLUB NACIONAL MONTEVIDEO AWAY
3.30SCORED A GAME4.200.60CONCEDED A GAME0.6050%CLEAN SHEETS50%6.22CORNERS A GAME6.802.44CARDS A GAME0.80
TRENDS
Club Libertad have scored in 90% of their games.
Club Nacional Montevideo have scored in 70% of their games.
Club Libertad kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Club Nacional Montevideo kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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