FC Goa vs Qadsia SC
Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium, Kuwait.
Form. FC Goa have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. In this competition FC Goa have gone W L. Qadsia SC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition Qadsia SC have gone W W.
The numbers. FC Goa score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Goa average 11.8 shots (3.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Qadsia SC score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Qadsia SC average 11.0 shots (4.9 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 73% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Qadsia SC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Qadsia SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Qadsia SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Qadsia SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Qadsia SC 1UP (the signs point different ways); Qadsia SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Goa 1-1 Qadsia SC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).