Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo vs Paro FC
Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu.
Form. Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. Paro FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L.
The numbers. Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo score 2.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last six at home, with five clean sheets. Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo average 13.9 shots (3.1 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Paro FC score 1.5 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Paro FC average 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 91% against the records' 59%.
The read. No firm call: Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo the likelier winners; Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Paro FC Over 0.5 Goals (Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo's own games don't back it (1 of 6)); Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo Over 1.5 Goals (Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo 2-1 Paro FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).