Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. WA Tlemcen are 12th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Tiaret, 1 point clear of RC Arba. A win would take them above Tiaret. Jrb Taghit are 16th on 1 point after 6 games, 1 point behind El Bayadh. A win would take them above El Bayadh.
Form. WA Tlemcen have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. Jrb Taghit have won none, drawn one and lost five of their last six, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L.
The numbers. WA Tlemcen score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. WA Tlemcen average 7.2 shots (2.4 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Jrb Taghit score 0.3 and concede 3.2 a game over their last six, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Jrb Taghit average 4.7 shots (1.7 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: WA Tlemcen are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make WA Tlemcen the likelier winners; WA Tlemcen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour WA Tlemcen. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: WA Tlemcen Over 0.5 Goals (WA Tlemcen's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: WA Tlemcen 1-1 Jrb Taghit (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).