FVFLA

15:00Fri 23 Oct

KSB

Flamurtari Vlore vs KS Beselidhja

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Kategoria e Pare, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadiumi Flamurtari.

What's at stake. Flamurtari Vlore are 4th on 9 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Bylis, level on points with FK Kukesi. A win would take them above Bylis. KS Beselidhja are 7th on 8 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Iliria Fushë-Krujë, level on points with Kastrioti Krujë. A win would take them above Iliria Fushë-Krujë.

Form. Flamurtari Vlore have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. KS Beselidhja have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D.

The numbers. Flamurtari Vlore score 1.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Flamurtari Vlore average 13.6 shots (5.6 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game. KS Beselidhja score none and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. KS Beselidhja average 12.7 shots (4.5 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Flamurtari Vlore have won one, drawn one and lost none. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 7 May 2023, it finished Flamurtari Vlore 3-0 KS Beselidhja.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 33%.

The read. No firm call: Flamurtari Vlore are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Flamurtari Vlore the likelier winners; Flamurtari Vlore are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Flamurtari Vlore 1-0 KS Beselidhja (15% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FLA 5 of 6 (83%) · KSB 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%

Flamurtari Vlore: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · KS Beselidhja: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Flamurtari Vlore: only games against sides at KS Beselidhja's level · KS Beselidhja: only games against sides at Flamurtari Vlore's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FLA 4 of 6 (67%) · KSB 5 of 6 (83%)75%

Flamurtari Vlore: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · KS Beselidhja: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Flamurtari Vlore: only games against sides at KS Beselidhja's level · KS Beselidhja: only games against sides at Flamurtari Vlore's level

FLAMURTARI VLORE GOALS

Flamurtari Vlore Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FLA 4 of 6 (67%) · KSB 4 of 6 (67%)66.7%

Flamurtari Vlore scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · KS Beselidhja conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Flamurtari Vlore: only games against sides at KS Beselidhja's level · KS Beselidhja: only games against sides at Flamurtari Vlore's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FLA 4 of 5 (80%) · KSB 5 of 5 (100%)90%

Flamurtari Vlore's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · KS Beselidhja's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Flamurtari Vlore: only games against sides at KS Beselidhja's level · KS Beselidhja: only games against sides at Flamurtari Vlore's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 14.7%

Flamurtari Vlore goals →

KS Beselidhja goals ↓

0-010%

1-015%

2-012%

3-06%

4-03%

5-00.8%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-23%

1-24%

2-23%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-30.8%

3-30.4%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.1%

1-40.2%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FLAMURTARI VLOREWDLDDLDWWW1.60 PPG

KS BESELIDHJALLLLLDWDDW0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FLAMURTARI VLORE HOMExKS BESELIDHJA AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME0.801.10CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.89CORNERS A GAME4.332.22CARDS A GAME3.33

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

FLAMURTARI VLORE 1 · 50%DRAW 1KS BESELIDHJA 0 · 0%

2022-12-21Flamurtari Vlore 2 – 2 KS Beselidhja

2023-05-07Flamurtari Vlore 3 – 0 KS Beselidhja

TRENDS

Flamurtari Vlore have scored in 70% of their games.

KS Beselidhja have scored in 40% of their games.

Flamurtari Vlore kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

KS Beselidhja kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards