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Fortis FC vs Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 14:25 Lagos time. It is played at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium, Kuwait.

Form. Fortis FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda have won two, drawn one and lost four of their last seven, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.

The numbers. Fortis FC score 2.3 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Fortis FC average 7.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda average 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 5% against the records' 50%.

The read. No firm call: Fortis FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fortis FC the likelier winners; Fortis FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fortis FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda Over 0.5 Goals (Fortis FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fortis FC 2-1 Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Fortis FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FOR 6 of 6 (100%) · REG 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%
Fortis FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: only games against sides at Fortis FC's level
Fortis FC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FOR 5 of 6 (83%) · REG 5 of 6 (83%)84.4%
Fortis FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: only games against sides at Fortis FC's level
Fortis FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
FOR 6 of 6 (100%) · REG 4 of 6 (67%)81.7%
Fortis FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: only games against sides at Fortis FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FOR 6 of 6 (100%) · REG 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%
Fortis FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: only games against sides at Fortis FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
FOR 5 of 6 (83%) · REG 4 of 6 (67%)76.1%
Fortis FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: only games against sides at Fortis FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
FOR 3 of 6 (50%) · REG 4 of 6 (67%)61.7%
Fortis FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: only games against sides at Fortis FC's level
FORTIS FC GOALS
Fortis FC Over 0.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 38%
2.60
FOR 6 of 6 (100%) · REG 4 of 6 (67%)81.7%
Fortis FC scored in 6 of 6 at home · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda: only games against sides at Fortis FC's level
Left off the list: Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda Over 0.5 Goals (Fortis FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.5%
Fortis FC goals →
Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
FORTIS FCWWDWWDDWLL1.80 PPG
REGAR-TADAZ TURSUNZODALDLLWWL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FORTIS FC HOMExREGAR-TADAZ TURSUNZODA AWAY
2.90SCORED A GAME1.141.20CONCEDED A GAME1.1440%CLEAN SHEETS29%33%FAILED TO SCORE33%5.50CORNERS A GAME5.001.50CARDS A GAME2.20
TRENDS
Fortis FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda have scored in 71% of their games.
Fortis FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda kept a clean sheet in 29% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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