Ahal FC vs AL Ansar SC
Ahal FC scored in 4 of 6 at home · AL Ansar SC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu.
Form. Ahal FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. In this competition Ahal FC have gone L D. AL Ansar SC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition AL Ansar SC have gone W W.
The numbers. Ahal FC score two and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ahal FC average 9.0 shots (3.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AL Ansar SC score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AL Ansar SC average 12.7 shots (5.8 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The case against. Ahal FC's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. AL Ansar SC to win. An open game. AL Ansar SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Ansar SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or AL Ansar SC at 1.12, 77% on the records (AL Ansar SC unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; Ahal FC failed to win 3 of 6 at home). Full cover: Ahal FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.56. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: AL Ansar SC Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); AL Ansar SC Over 1.5 goals (Ahal FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); AL Ansar SC Over 0.5 Goals (Ahal FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Ahal FC 1-2 AL Ansar SC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).