Kerala Blasters FC vs Mumbai City
Match details. Indian Super League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Kochi.
What's at stake. Kerala Blasters FC are 6th on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with ATK Mohun Bagan, level on points with Churchill Brothers. A win would take them above ATK Mohun Bagan. Mumbai City are 10th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with Goa, level on points with Chennaiyin. A win would take them above Goa.
Form. Kerala Blasters FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Kerala Blasters FC have gone L W W W W W. Mumbai City have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L. In this competition Mumbai City have gone D L W W L D.
The numbers. Kerala Blasters FC score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Kerala Blasters FC average 12.1 shots (4.5 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Mumbai City score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last eight away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mumbai City average 11.5 shots (4.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Kerala Blasters FC have won four, drawn none and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Kerala Blasters FC won one and Mumbai City won three. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished Kerala Blasters FC 0-1 Mumbai City: Kerala Blasters FC had 9 shots to 12, 57% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Kerala Blasters FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Mumbai City: in the last ten meetings, Kerala Blasters FC won four and Mumbai City won six.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their xG points to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, 79% on the records (Kerala Blasters FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Mumbai City: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 away). Backup: Mumbai City Over 0.5 Goals at 1.29. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Kerala Blasters FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Mumbai City or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kerala Blasters FC 1-1 Mumbai City (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).