Chatham Town vs Welling United
Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Chatham Town are 8th on 21 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Carshalton Athletic, 1 point clear of Burgess Hill Town. A win would take them above Carshalton Athletic. Welling United are 2nd on 27 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Enfield Town, 1 point clear of Lewes. A win would take them above Enfield Town.
Form. Chatham Town have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition Chatham Town have gone W L W W L W. Welling United have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Welling United have gone W L W W W W.
The numbers. Chatham Town score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Chatham Town average 5.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Welling United score 2.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Welling United average 6.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. Chatham Town have won all of the last three meetings. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Chatham Town 3-1 Welling United.
Where it pulls both ways. Welling United are the form side, but the meetings favour Chatham Town: in the last three meetings, Chatham Town won three. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Chatham Town or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Welling United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Chatham Town Over 0.5 Goals (Welling United's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: Chatham Town 1-1 Welling United (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).