Stratford Town vs Alvechurch
Match details. Southern League Premier Central, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Stratford Town are 16th on 11 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Leiston, 1 point clear of Leamington. A win would take them above Leiston. Alvechurch are 8th on 21 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Kettering Town, 2 points clear of Anstey Nomads. A win would take them above Kettering Town.
Form. Stratford Town have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. In this competition Stratford Town have gone D D W W L L. Alvechurch have won four, drawn three and lost one of their last eight, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. In this competition Alvechurch have gone D L D D W W.
The numbers. Stratford Town score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Stratford Town average 3.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Alvechurch score 1.6 and concede 0.5 a game over their last eight, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alvechurch average 3.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Stratford Town have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Stratford Town won four. The last time they met, on 27 Dec 2025, it finished Stratford Town 2-1 Alvechurch.
Where it pulls both ways. Alvechurch are the form side, but the meetings favour Stratford Town: in the last ten meetings, Stratford Town won seven, Alvechurch won two and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28, 74% on the records (Stratford Town: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Alvechurch: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8). Leave: Stratford Town Over 0.5 goals (Alvechurch's own games don't back it (3 of 8)); Stratford Town or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Stratford Town 2-1 Alvechurch (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).