MC Saida vs USM Blida
Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. MC Saida are 4th on 13 points after 5 games, 1 point behind GC Mascara, 3 points clear of ASM Oran. A win would take them above GC Mascara. USM Blida are 1st on 16 points after 6 games, 2 points clear of RC Kouba.
Form. MC Saida have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. USM Blida have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. MC Saida score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. MC Saida average 11.4 shots (5.6 on target), 5.9 corners and 0.9 cards a game. USM Blida score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. USM Blida average 11.2 shots (6.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings MC Saida have won three, drawn four and lost three. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, MC Saida won two, one was drawn and USM Blida won one. The last time they met, on 12 Mar 2019, it finished MC Saida 1-0 USM Blida.
The case against. MC Saida's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. USM Blida or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.42, 73% on the records (MC Saida: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; USM Blida: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: MC Saida 1-1 USM Blida (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).