Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. Club Olimpia have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Cruzeiro EC MG have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Club Olimpia score 3.4 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets. Club Olimpia average 14.1 shots (6.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Cruzeiro EC MG score 4.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Cruzeiro EC MG average 21.7 shots (9.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 15% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Club Olimpia are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Club Olimpia the likelier winners; Club Olimpia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Olimpia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cruzeiro EC MG or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Club Olimpia); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Club Olimpia 2-1 Cruzeiro EC MG (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).