Match details. Kategoria e Pare, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadiumi Adush Muca, Ballsh.
What's at stake. Bylis Ballsh are 3rd on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Besa Kavajë, 1 point clear of Flamurtari. A win would take them above Besa Kavajë. KS Pogradeci are 1st on 12 points after 6 games, 2 points clear of Besa Kavajë.
Form. Bylis Ballsh have won two, drawn four and lost none of their last six, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. KS Pogradeci have won three, drawn three and lost none of their last six, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W.
The numbers. Bylis Ballsh score 0.8 and concede 0.5 a game over their last six, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Bylis Ballsh average 9.0 shots (4.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. KS Pogradeci score 1.5 and concede 0.5 a game over their last six, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. KS Pogradeci average 12.1 shots (5.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Bylis Ballsh have won seven, drawn three and lost none. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Bylis Ballsh won four. The last time they met, on 11 Oct 2022, it finished Bylis Ballsh 7-1 KS Pogradeci.
Where it pulls both ways. KS Pogradeci are the form side, but the meetings favour Bylis Ballsh: in the last ten meetings, Bylis Ballsh won seven and three were drawn.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Bylis Ballsh or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); KS Pogradeci or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bylis Ballsh 0-0 KS Pogradeci (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).