SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 14

ALADL

17:00Wed 21 Oct

CDS

AD Llerenense vs CD Santa Amalia

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 14, Group 14 - 5. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. AD Llerenense have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D W W. CD Santa Amalia have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L D D W.

The numbers. AD Llerenense score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. AD Llerenense average 12.0 shots (3.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CD Santa Amalia score 0.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Santa Amalia average 9.6 shots (3.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.1 cards a game.

The read. AD Llerenense to win. A tight game. AD Llerenense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Llerenense. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AD Llerenense 1-0 CD Santa Amalia (16% chance).

The agreed story. AD Llerenense or the draw, a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AD Llerenense (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADL 6 of 7 (86%) · CDS 4 of 5 (80%)83.9%

AD Llerenense won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CD Santa Amalia lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 83% · AD Llerenense: only games against sides at CD Santa Amalia's level · CD Santa Amalia: only games against sides at AD Llerenense's level · won 5, refunded 5, lost 0

AD Llerenense or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADL 5 of 5 (100%) · CDS 5 of 5 (100%)75.3%

AD Llerenense: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · CD Santa Amalia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · AD Llerenense: only games against sides at CD Santa Amalia's level · CD Santa Amalia: only games against sides at AD Llerenense's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADL 5 of 5 (100%) · CDS 5 of 5 (100%)97%

AD Llerenense: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Santa Amalia: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · AD Llerenense: only games against sides at CD Santa Amalia's level · CD Santa Amalia: only games against sides at AD Llerenense's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADL 5 of 5 (100%) · CDS 5 of 5 (100%)97%

AD Llerenense: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Santa Amalia: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · AD Llerenense: only games against sides at CD Santa Amalia's level · CD Santa Amalia: only games against sides at AD Llerenense's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADL 4 of 5 (80%) · CDS 5 of 5 (100%)87.7%

AD Llerenense: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CD Santa Amalia: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · AD Llerenense: only games against sides at CD Santa Amalia's level · CD Santa Amalia: only games against sides at AD Llerenense's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.69

ADL 3 of 5 (60%) · CDS 4 of 5 (80%)48.7%

AD Llerenense: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CD Santa Amalia: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · AD Llerenense: only games against sides at CD Santa Amalia's level · CD Santa Amalia: only games against sides at AD Llerenense's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AD Llerenense Over 0.5 Goals (CD Santa Amalia's own games don't back it (2 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 16%

AD Llerenense goals →

CD Santa Amalia goals ↓

0-016%

1-016%

2-010%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.2%

0-111%

1-114%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-24%

1-25%

2-23%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-31%

1-31%

2-30.7%

3-30.3%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.1%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AD LLERENENSEDDLWWWWDWW2.10 PPG

CD SANTA AMALIALDLLDWDDLD0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AD LLERENENSE HOMExCD SANTA AMALIA AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME0.701.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1040%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.33CORNERS A GAME5.292.00CARDS A GAME3.14

TRENDS

AD Llerenense have scored in 90% of their games.

CD Santa Amalia have scored in 50% of their games.

AD Llerenense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

CD Santa Amalia kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards