Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Basingstoke Town FC are 17th on 12 points after 12 games, level on points with Sholing, 1 point clear of Hanwell Town. A win would take them above Sholing. Plymouth Parkway are 5th on 23 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Hanworth Villa, 1 point clear of Chichester City. A win would take them above Hanworth Villa.
Form. Basingstoke Town FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. In this competition Basingstoke Town FC have gone L L W L D D. Plymouth Parkway have won six, drawn one and lost two of their last nine, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. In this competition Plymouth Parkway have gone W L D W W W.
The numbers. Basingstoke Town FC score 1.6 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Basingstoke Town FC average 3.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Plymouth Parkway score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Basingstoke Town FC have won two, drawn two and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Basingstoke Town FC won one, one was drawn and Plymouth Parkway won two. The last time they met, on 3 Apr 2026, it finished Basingstoke Town FC 0-3 Plymouth Parkway.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Plymouth Parkway or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Plymouth Parkway (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: Basingstoke Town FC 1-1 Plymouth Parkway (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).