THE READ
Match details. Copa do Brasil, Women. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. Fluminense FC RJ have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. CR Flamengo RJ have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W.
The numbers. Fluminense FC RJ score 2.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Fluminense FC RJ average 11.5 shots (5.4 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game. CR Flamengo RJ score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CR Flamengo RJ average 15.2 shots (6.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The case against. CR Flamengo RJ's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Fluminense FC RJ to win. Their goals for and against make Fluminense FC RJ the likelier winners; Fluminense FC RJ are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fluminense FC RJ 2-1 CR Flamengo RJ (9% chance).
The agreed story. Fluminense FC RJ or the draw, goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Fluminense FC RJ or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLU 5 of 7 (71%) · CRF 5 of 5 (100%)74.3%
Fluminense FC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
Fluminense FC RJ or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLU 4 of 5 (80%) · CRF 5 of 7 (71%)71.5%
Fluminense FC RJ scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
Fluminense FC RJ (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
2.05
FLU 3 of 5 (60%) · CRF 4 of 7 (57%)59.6%
Fluminense FC RJ won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CR Flamengo RJ lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · won 5, refunded 3, lost 1
Fluminense FC RJ 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLU 4 of 5 (80%) · CRF 5 of 7 (71%)52.5%
Fluminense FC RJ scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ trailed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
Fluminense FC RJ or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLU 4 of 7 (57%) · CRF 4 of 5 (80%)50.6%
Fluminense FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
GOALS
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FLU 7 of 7 (100%) · CRF 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Fluminense FC RJ: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
FLU 5 of 7 (71%) · CRF 4 of 5 (80%)52.5%
Fluminense FC RJ: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesIN CODES
1.63
FLU 5 of 7 (71%) · CRF 4 of 5 (80%)52.5%
Fluminense FC RJ: both scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ: both scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
FLUMINENSE FC RJ GOALS
Fluminense FC RJ Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLU 5 of 7 (71%) · CRF 5 of 5 (100%)85.7%
Fluminense FC RJ scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
CR FLAMENGO RJ GOALS
CR Flamengo RJ Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRF 4 of 5 (80%) · FLU 7 of 7 (100%)72%
CR Flamengo RJ scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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FLU 5 of 7 (71%) · CRF 5 of 5 (100%)85.7%
Fluminense FC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
CARDS
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FLU 6 of 7 (86%) · CRF 4 of 5 (80%)82.9%
Fluminense FC RJ's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Flamengo RJ's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at CR Flamengo RJ's level · CR Flamengo RJ: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
Left off the list: Fluminense FC RJ or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
TRENDS
Fluminense FC RJ have scored in 80% of their games.
CR Flamengo RJ have scored in 80% of their games.
Fluminense FC RJ kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
CR Flamengo RJ kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.