EDGE PICKAssyriska FF Under 1.5 goals · 56.1% · @1.75
Book 57% · Us 56%-1price too short
Backed by
Assyriska FF scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · FC Arlanda conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Ettan. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Assyriska FF have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. FC Arlanda have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. Assyriska FF score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Assyriska FF average 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. FC Arlanda score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Arlanda average 3.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Assyriska FF's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. FC Arlanda to win. An open game. FC Arlanda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Arlanda. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 77% on the records (Assyriska FF: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FC Arlanda: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: FC Arlanda or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FC Arlanda or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Assyriska FF 1-2 FC Arlanda (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Arlanda or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASS 4 of 5 (80%) · FCA 4 of 5 (80%)79.1%
FC Arlanda: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Assyriska FF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level
FC Arlanda or Over 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.25
ASS 4 of 5 (80%) · FCA 4 of 5 (80%)71.5%
FC Arlanda: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Assyriska FF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level
FC Arlanda win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.13
ASS 3 of 5 (60%) · FCA 4 of 5 (80%)70.4%
FC Arlanda: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Assyriska FF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level
FC Arlanda or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASS 3 of 5 (60%) · FCA 3 of 5 (60%)60%
FC Arlanda scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · Assyriska FF trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level
FC Arlanda 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASS 3 of 5 (60%) · FCA 3 of 5 (60%)60%
FC Arlanda scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 away · Assyriska FF trailed in 3 of 5 at home · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level
FC Arlanda (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
ASS 3 of 5 (60%) · FCA 3 of 5 (60%)51.4%
FC Arlanda won 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · Assyriska FF lost 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 60% · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level · won 6, refunded 0, lost 4
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASS 5 of 5 (100%) · FCA 5 of 5 (100%)93.9%
Assyriska FF: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Arlanda: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.15
ASS 4 of 5 (80%) · FCA 4 of 5 (80%)73.4%
Assyriska FF: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Arlanda: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
ASS 4 of 5 (80%) · FCA 2 of 5 (40%)55.5%
Assyriska FF: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · FC Arlanda: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level
ASSYRISKA FF GOALS
Assyriska FF Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.25
ASS 5 of 5 (100%) · FCA 4 of 5 (80%)73.5%
Assyriska FF scored in 5 of 5 at home · FC Arlanda conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level
Assyriska FF Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.75
ASS 3 of 5 (60%) · FCA 3 of 5 (60%)56.1%
Assyriska FF scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · FC Arlanda conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level
FC ARLANDA GOALS
FC Arlanda Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.16
ASS 3 of 5 (60%) · FCA 4 of 5 (80%)69.6%
FC Arlanda scored in 3 of 5 away · Assyriska FF conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · FC Arlanda: only games against sides at Assyriska FF's level · Assyriska FF: only games against sides at FC Arlanda's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); FC Arlanda or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (45%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–27.7%
Assyriska FF goals →
FC Arlanda goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
ASSYRISKA FFLWLLWLLWWL1.20 PPG
FC ARLANDALLWWWWLLWW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ASSYRISKA FF HOMExFC ARLANDA AWAY
1.67SCORED A GAME1.741.78CONCEDED A GAME1.2670%BOTH SCORED60%20%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.93CORNERS A GAME3.772.15CARDS A GAME1.88
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.45+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.18-0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.812LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
73%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 85/90
ASSYRISKA FF OR DRAW
47%
NO · 80/85
FC ARLANDA OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ASSYRISKA FFxFC ARLANDA
6GAMES61.67SCORED A GAME1.671.67CONCEDED A GAME1.833.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.583%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%67%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Assyriska FF have scored in 90% of their games.
FC Arlanda have scored in 80% of their games.
Assyriska FF kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
FC Arlanda kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards