Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 12, Group 12 - 1. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. San Bartolome CF have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. UD Playas de Sotavento have won none, drawn three and lost four of their last seven, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L.
The numbers. San Bartolome CF score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. UD Playas de Sotavento score 0.7 and concede 2.9 a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. UD Playas de Sotavento average 2.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. San Bartolome CF to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make San Bartolome CF the likelier winners; San Bartolome CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour San Bartolome CF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: San Bartolome CF or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: San Bartolome CF 2-1 UD Playas de Sotavento (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).