FK Grobina vs Riga FC
Match details. Virsliga, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Grobina Stadium.
What's at stake. FK Grobina are 8th on 29 points after 33 games, 3 points behind FS Jelgava, 4 points clear of Tukums. A win would take them level on points with FS Jelgava. Riga FC are 2nd on 79 points after 33 games, 7 points behind Rīgas FS, 12 points clear of Auda. FK Grobina have nothing left to play for. Riga FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. FK Grobina have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. In this competition FK Grobina have gone W L D D L W. Riga FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Riga FC have gone W W W W D D.
The numbers. FK Grobina score one and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Grobina average 16.7 shots (5.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Riga FC score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Riga FC average 16.3 shots (8.0 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 68% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Grobina have won none, drawn one and lost nine. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and Riga FC won three. The last time they met, on 2 Aug 2026, it finished FK Grobina 0-4 Riga FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: Riga FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Riga FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Riga FC; the meetings favour Riga FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Riga FC to win at 1.19, 88% on the records (the tipsters read Riga FC as a clear winner (3 scores) and Riga FC are 1.2 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (Riga FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Riga FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FK Grobina 1-1 Riga FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).