Arema FC vs Dewa United
Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Kanjuruhan Stadium, Malang.
What's at stake. Arema FC are 12th on 6 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Java United, level on points with Pusamania Borneo. A win would take them above Java United. Dewa United are 2nd on 14 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Persija, 1 point clear of Persepam Madura Utd. A win would take them above Persija.
Form. Arema FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D. Dewa United have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.
The numbers. Arema FC score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Arema FC average 9.7 shots (5.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Dewa United score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Dewa United average 12.6 shots (4.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Arema FC have won two, drawn two and lost four. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and Dewa United won three. The last time they met, on 26 Jan 2026, it finished Arema FC 0-2 Dewa United.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Arema FC's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The read. Dewa United to win. A tight game. Dewa United are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Dewa United. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Dewa United or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Arema FC Under 1.5 goals (Arema FC's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Arema FC 0-1 Dewa United (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).