Warrington Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Warrington Town are 7th on 23 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Workington, level on points with Rylands. A win would take them above Workington. Gainsborough Trinity are 5th on 25 points after 13 games, 3 points behind Avro, 1 point clear of Workington. A win would take them level on points with Avro.
Form. Warrington Town have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D L. In this competition Warrington Town have gone D W D D L W. Gainsborough Trinity have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition Gainsborough Trinity have gone W W W W L L.
The numbers. Warrington Town score 1.8 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Warrington Town average 4.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Gainsborough Trinity score 2.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Gainsborough Trinity average 2.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Warrington Town have won two, drawn three and lost three. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and Gainsborough Trinity won three. The last time they met, on 6 Dec 2025, it finished Warrington Town 0-3 Gainsborough Trinity.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Warrington Town's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The read. Gainsborough Trinity to win. A tight game. Gainsborough Trinity are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Gainsborough Trinity. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Gainsborough Trinity or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Warrington Town 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).