FRFCR

14:00Wed 21 Oct

FCC

FC Riltsi vs FC Chernomorets Balchik

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Treta Liga. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. FC Riltsi have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. FC Chernomorets Balchik have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D.

The numbers. FC Riltsi score 1.2 and concede three a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Chernomorets Balchik score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 80% against the records' 54%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.

The read. No firm call: FC Chernomorets Balchik are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make FC Chernomorets Balchik the likelier winners; FC Chernomorets Balchik are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Chernomorets Balchik.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC Riltsi 1-1 FC Chernomorets Balchik (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (FC Chernomorets Balchik the favourite), goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Chernomorets Balchik or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCC 2 of 5 (40%) · FCR 8 of 10 (80%)46.4%

FC Chernomorets Balchik: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · FC Riltsi: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · FC Chernomorets Balchik: only games against sides at FC Riltsi's level · FC Riltsi: only games against sides at FC Chernomorets Balchik's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCR 10 of 10 (100%) · FCC 3 of 5 (60%)83%

FC Riltsi: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Chernomorets Balchik: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · FC Riltsi: only games against sides at FC Chernomorets Balchik's level · FC Chernomorets Balchik: only games against sides at FC Riltsi's level

Under 4.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCR 5 of 10 (50%) · FCC 4 of 5 (80%)64.6%

FC Riltsi: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Chernomorets Balchik: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · FC Riltsi: only games against sides at FC Chernomorets Balchik's level · FC Chernomorets Balchik: only games against sides at FC Riltsi's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCR 6 of 8 (75%) · FCC 3 of 5 (60%)68.6%

FC Riltsi: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Chernomorets Balchik: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · FC Riltsi: only games against sides at FC Chernomorets Balchik's level · FC Chernomorets Balchik: only games against sides at FC Riltsi's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (81%) and the records (58%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); FC Chernomorets Balchik Over 0.5 Goals (FC Chernomorets Balchik's own games don't back it (2 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 10.3%

FC Riltsi goals →

FC Chernomorets… goals ↓

0-05%

1-04%

2-02%

3-00.8%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-19%

1-110%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-37%

1-37%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-43%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.6%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-51%

1-51%

2-50.7%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

FC RILTSILLLWWWLLLD1.00 PPG

FC CHERNOMORETS BALCHIKWDWWWDWLWL2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC RILTSI HOMExFC CHERNOMORETS BALCHIK AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.703.00CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS50%

TRENDS

FC Riltsi have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Chernomorets Balchik have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Riltsi kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

FC Chernomorets Balchik kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table