Match details. Treta Liga, Northeast - 8. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Benkovski Isperih are 6th on 14 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Chernomorets Balchik, 2 points clear of Septemvri Tervel. A win would take them level on points with Chernomorets Balchik. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, 3 points clear of Volov Shumen.
Form. Benkovski Isperih have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. Benkovski Isperih score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III score two and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Benkovski Isperih have won one, drawn none and lost five. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Benkovski Isperih won one and PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III won three. The last time they met, on 30 May 2026, it finished Benkovski Isperih 1-0 PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III.
The case against. Benkovski Isperih's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III to win. An open game. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III; the meetings favour PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Benkovski Isperih 1-2 PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III (9% chance).
The agreed story. PFC Ludogorets Razgrad III or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).