Urawa Red Diamonds vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 07:00 Lagos time. It is played at Saitama Stadium 2002.
What's at stake. Urawa Red Diamonds are 8th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Kawasaki Frontale, 1 point clear of Yokohama F. Marinos. A win would take them above Kawasaki Frontale. V-Varen Nagasaki are 14th on 12 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Cerezo Osaka, 1 point clear of Gamba Osaka. A win would take them above Cerezo Osaka.
Form. Urawa Red Diamonds have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition Urawa Red Diamonds have gone W W L W L W. V-Varen Nagasaki have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. In this competition V-Varen Nagasaki have gone W L D D W L.
The numbers. Urawa Red Diamonds score 2.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Urawa Red Diamonds average 15.4 shots (4.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. V-Varen Nagasaki score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. V-Varen Nagasaki average 13.2 shots (4.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Urawa Red Diamonds have won none, drawn two and lost one. None of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 22 May 2024, it finished Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki.
Where it pulls both ways. Urawa Red Diamonds are the form side, but the meetings favour V-Varen Nagasaki: in the last three meetings, V-Varen Nagasaki won one and two were drawn. On goals, their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; three of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Urawa Red Diamonds or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Urawa Red Diamonds or Both Teams Score (no result call); Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw & Over 1.5 (no result call). Predicted score: Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).